Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000021 0.000023 0.000026 0.000030 0.000034 0.000039 0.000045
2025-02-09 0.000016 0.000020 0.000024 0.000030 0.000037 0.000048 0.000063
2025-02-16 0.000014 0.000018 0.000023 0.000030 0.000041 0.000057 0.000084
2025-02-23 0.000013 0.000017 0.000022 0.000031 0.000045 0.000068 0.000112
2025-03-02 0.000011 0.000016 0.000021 0.000031 0.000048 0.000079 0.000147
2025-03-09 0.000010 0.000014 0.000021 0.000031 0.000050 0.000088 0.000183
2025-03-16 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020 0.000031 0.000052 0.000098 0.000226
2025-03-23 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000031 0.000055 0.000110 0.000286
2025-03-30 0.000008 0.000012 0.000019 0.000031 0.000058 0.000123 0.000363
2025-04-06 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000031 0.000060 0.000136 0.000451
2025-04-13 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000031 0.000061 0.000147 0.000555
2025-04-20 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000030 0.000063 0.000161 0.000698
2025-04-27 0.000007 0.000010 0.000017 0.000031 0.000067 0.000183 0.000952
2025-05-04 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000031 0.000069 0.000202 0.001254
2025-05-11 0.000006 0.000009 0.000016 0.000031 0.000072 0.000229 0.001795
2025-05-18 0.000006 0.000009 0.000016 0.000032 0.000077 0.000270 0.002861
2025-05-25 0.000006 0.000009 0.000016 0.000032 0.000082 0.000314 0.004706
2025-06-01 0.000005 0.000009 0.000015 0.000032 0.000085 0.000347 0.007220
2025-06-08 0.000005 0.000008 0.000015 0.000032 0.000087 0.000381 0.011369
2025-06-15 0.000005 0.000008 0.000015 0.000032 0.000090 0.000433 0.021770
2025-06-22 0.000005 0.000008 0.000015 0.000032 0.000094 0.000494 0.049272
2025-06-29 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000032 0.000097 0.000547 0.120901
2025-07-06 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000032 0.000098 0.000598 0.372569